{"market_id":"australia-nsw","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":3,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:australia-nsw:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"australia-nsw","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:australia-nsw"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":3,"label":"Workable"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med-High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Sydney is Australia's data-center capital by a wide margin, but NSW carries the sharpest coal-retirement reliability question, with Eraring (2,880 MW) due to close in 2027.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:02c8b7b2c81dc17bc3d37ab07e4df0049df155b17b08eb0658af4947f214cd4c"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:australia-nsw:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"australia-nsw","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:australia-nsw"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"watch","label":"Adequacy flagged"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"forward","method_source_label":"assessed","confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"AEMO 2025 Electricity Statement of Opportunities","title":"AEMO 2025 Electricity Statement of Opportunities","url":"https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/files/electricity/nem/planning_and_forecasting/nem_esoo/2025/2025-electricity-statement-of-opportunities.pdf","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"AEMO 2025 ESOO media release","title":"AEMO 2025 ESOO media release","url":"https://www.aemo.com.au/newsroom/media-release/reliability-outlook-improves-timely-investment-delivery-essential","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"AEMO's 2025 ESOO states the reliability gaps previously identified around the Eraring retirement (2,880 MW, notified for 19 August 2027) are no longer forecast, but the improved outlook is reliant on all expected investments being delivered on time and in full, and gaps are forecast in all mainland regions later in the decade under the committed-only view. PGIQ read: execution risk, not a forecast shortfall.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:cb603ba8419ce70cee8d461fcdeca50fb9492d0aa0d1ccd29730dd209c5ad1a3"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:australia-nsw:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"australia-nsw","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:australia-nsw"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":540},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:74ed4e9cb013967208c80dc98b756883e789c0e24ec47dd994e8aeb1dd7f59ff"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","requires":"recurring cost for the declared archetype","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no compiled cost band for this market yet (check administered_large_user_tariff: where a regulated tariff exists it is the price actually paid)","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"connection_wait","requires":"time from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW; initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate milestones","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no countable queue or operator-published process for this market","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","requires":"direction and steadiness of connection rules","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no dated regulatory read compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}