{"market_id":"desert-southwest","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":7,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:desert-southwest:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"desert-southwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:desert-southwest"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":2,"label":"Strong"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med-High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"One of the fastest-growing US markets, on abundant land, strong solar and a pro-build posture. Phoenix overtook Dallas and Silicon Valley on inventory in 2025. 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A solar-driven queue across Arizona and the desert Southwest; Phoenix is a major build.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:e0963f8a9dcaab1725b72eac1051b82b76e2c41e3f87d2d462bfdce15d929520"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:desert-southwest:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"desert-southwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:desert-southwest"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"base":55},"unit":"months","definition":"complete_application_accepted_to_full_firm_energization","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"Low","coverage":"typical case, not a quote","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap in practice","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; 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no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:d9714f4a67c5022db13fc5888f3d2c757e644e7023ac603f7a8d1aa7d7d93e6b"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:desert-southwest:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"desert-southwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:desert-southwest"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"watch","label":"Adequacy flagged"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability overlay","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Phoenix and the desert Southwest face extreme summer cooling peaks that strain supply; utilities have managed them so far, but heat-driven peak stress is the standing forward risk.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:ba3b4cacc299755a1bf4113ecd3838831371f8cf7b8553a04ffc6671a5a97fbf"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:desert-southwest:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"desert-southwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:desert-southwest"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":210},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:0137f89daeecc8f3d4393502ef036563d278783e27806c698d41391165fa09f1"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","requires":"recurring cost for the declared archetype","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no compiled cost band for this market yet (check administered_large_user_tariff: where a regulated tariff exists it is the price actually paid)","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","requires":"direction and steadiness of connection rules","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no dated regulatory read compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}