{"market_id":"indonesia","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":7,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":3,"label":"Workable"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Cheap, coal-backed PLN power and a booming Batam data-centre cluster, including the country's largest power deal. The drawbacks are weak grid reliability outside Java, long connection queues, and a high-carbon mix.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:9b898dc249e755430784844e3948be9c58eaa354e47d207125c27d92f805b5eb"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":62,"base":72,"high":90},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"tariff","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"administered","coverage":"1 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Indonesia industrial electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","title":"Indonesia industrial electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/Indonesia/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"PLN tariff adjustment (Sekretariat Kabinet)","title":"PLN tariff adjustment (Sekretariat Kabinet)","url":"https://setkab.go.id/en/govt-adjusts-electricity-tariffs/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Indonesia industrial electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","title":"Indonesia industrial electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/Indonesia/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"PLN is a state monopoly with no wholesale market; the government sets tariffs and adjusts them quarterly. Coal and subsidies keep industrial power cheap, though large hyperscale loads may negotiate separate PPAs.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:75267f19ae588eb0295c268c5bd2f494d0cf70ca938c4fcd68ca0f2de535044c"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"low":12,"base":24,"high":24},"unit":"months","definition":"from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW, expressed as a band. Initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate, earlier milestones. 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A published fact with a source, not our forecast.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited announcement","coverage":"stated timing 2026 to 2027","model_uncertainty":"announced timing can slip","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"w.media","title":"w.media","url":"https://w.media/dayone-inks-indonesias-largest-power-deal-for-its-batam-data-center/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"announcement","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Indonesia's largest data-center power deal; a live test of Batam grid reinforcement and the connection queue.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:dcfc4235990d753a1891843d67f6df8c2bc03576882fee4e55d5db0db6edb946"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"watch","label":"Adequacy flagged"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Indonesia data-center boom meets energy reality (PetroRaya)","title":"Indonesia data-center boom meets energy reality (PetroRaya)","url":"https://www.petroraya.com/article/indonesias-data-center-boom-meets-an-energy-reality/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Grids outside Java often lack hyperscale-grade reliability, a risk to uptime for a large new load, though PLN's 2025-2034 plan adds significant capacity.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:088d1c2ec6d7253e08ea5282bdec5f793c3f4cfc5808dcbe2664aa3ebd620ead"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":625},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:227c717367acfd7bad7877f71325755615bfd9fc38ebeb12b258f2406fbc54a3"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:indonesia:regulatory_momentum:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"indonesia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:indonesia"},"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","value":{"base":"mixed","direction":"stable"},"unit":null,"definition":"direction and steadiness of the rules governing large-load connection (stroke-of-pen risk)","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited dated developments","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"regulatory momentum","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"PLN is signing record data-centre PPAs (the 450 MW Batam deal), but connection queues could reach 24 months and grids outside Java lack hyperscale-grade reliability. WHAT WOULD CHANGE IT: PLN grid reinforcement clearing the Batam queue and lifting outside-Java reliability.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:e9a6a407641283f27f36cdec4d54fa3e057dbd631f76388396e13aebd7bb6d9d"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}