{"market_id":"manitoba","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":4,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:manitoba:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"manitoba","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:manitoba"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":2,"label":"Strong"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The cheapest power on the board and an open, clean grid. The limit is size: a small system can only absorb so much 100 MW-plus load, and large-load demand here is still early.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:4de1949a84d29fb2ff088e80e17c036a0d2ba5568c06ba38edc652703104375d"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:manitoba:administered_large_user_tariff:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"manitoba","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:manitoba"},"predicate":"administered_large_user_tariff","value":{"base":35,"native":"about 4 to 5 cents CAD per kWh"},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"regulated large-user industrial tariff, the price a large load actually pays where no competitive wholesale market exists. A published rate, not an all-in build-up: it may exclude network or delivery components billed separately.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"regulator or utility tariff sheet","coverage":"year 2026","model_uncertainty":"rate, not a modelled band","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Manitoba Hydro electricity rates","title":"Manitoba Hydro electricity rates","url":"https://www.hydro.mb.ca/accounts_and_services/rates/","published_at":"2026","retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tariff schedule","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Manitoba has no competitive wholesale market; a large load buys Manitoba Hydro's regulated industrial rate, roughly 4 to 5 Canadian cents per kWh (about 3.5 US cents), among the lowest anywhere. The regulated tariff, not a spot price, is what a data center pays.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:1fa932805574b7213575de2e1edc78dc55de3119908a6ee1d6ce6e4f7eef47b6"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:manitoba:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"manitoba","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:manitoba"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"watch","label":"Adequacy flagged"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability overlay","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Manitoba Hydro is about 97% hydro, cheap and clean, but that deep hydro dependence carries a drought-year adequacy exposure similar to British Columbia.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:4e5cd30b8633e4aadcafc3ebbe7a569cf69a2132065e2d2120939b1094652706"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:manitoba:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"manitoba","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:manitoba"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":6},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:b77104346c0832203c7e24d793b2fc1f63d6142e9f988107af8082854ecd7b54"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","requires":"recurring cost for the declared archetype","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no compiled cost band for this market yet (check administered_large_user_tariff: where a regulated tariff exists it is the price actually paid)","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"connection_wait","requires":"time from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW; initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate milestones","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no countable queue or operator-published process for this market","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","requires":"direction and steadiness of connection rules","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no dated regulatory read compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}