{"market_id":"northern-virginia","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":14,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":2,"label":"Strong"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The largest and most proven data-centre market on earth, which is why it holds a strong rating despite a severe connection queue and rising cost. But it is saturated and expensive, and getting in is slow and slowing further. A builder free to go elsewhere may prefer a cheaper, faster market.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:07b13b5b705aad46db12dae8ccfc6b8a433c2ffdb3633973a3abce93a1574fe9"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":82.63,"base":82.63,"high":82.63},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"tariff","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"administered","coverage":"16 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Dominion Energy Virginia rates and tariffs","title":"Dominion Energy Virginia rates and tariffs","url":"https://www.dominionenergy.com/virginia/rates-and-tariffs","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Virginia SCC, Dominion biennial review PUR-2025-00058","title":"Virginia SCC, Dominion biennial review PUR-2025-00058","url":"https://www.scc.virginia.gov/about-the-scc/newsreleases/release/scc-issues-order-on-dev-biennial-review-2025/scc-rules-in-dev-biennial-review-case.html","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Dominion Energy Virginia rates and tariffs","title":"Dominion Energy Virginia rates and tariffs","url":"https://www.dominionenergy.com/virginia/rates-and-tariffs","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(components)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"component":"Schedule GS-4 base, transmission voltage","usd_per_mwh":20.82},{"component":"Riders, fifteen filed sheets","usd_per_mwh":60.34},{"component":"State and local taxes","usd_per_mwh":1.29},{"component":"Reactive demand (rkVA at 0.95 power factor)","usd_per_mwh":0.18}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Every line is read from a filed rate sheet rather than allocated from a market price. Riders are the large majority of the total: Rider A (fuel) alone is $37.65/MWh. Two riders, RGGI and DIST, are currently filed at exactly zero and are carried as rates rather than dropped, so a future filing that moves them off zero is not a surprise in a component nobody was watching.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:a789d0ea9d906a9df6434a0d7f6a9d0cfc786bd6c09a7e1a68718a58c29f2b75"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:generation_storage_queue_depth:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"generation_storage_queue_depth","value":{"base":144},"unit":"GW","definition":"capacity in the generation and storage queue, population \"active\"","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"High","coverage":"operator-published total","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","title":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","url":"https://insidelines.pjm.com/over-800-new-generation-projects-seek-to-connect-under-pjms-reformed-process/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","title":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","url":"https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-interconnection-queue-gas-solar-nuclear/818824/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"About 144 GW active at end-2025 (LBNL Queued Up 2026). The new-request pause has ended: Cycle 1 of the reformed first-ready, first-served process closed April 27, 2026 with 811 projects totalling about 220 GW applied, led by gas at 106 GW; PJM targets a one to two year study cycle. Cycle 1 capacity is applications in validation, not yet added to our active figure. Data-center load keeps the path tight, especially in Northern Virginia.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:23f670205d45f7f8eb06cc6911f8ea3751f9938d71ace4f188b34e2deebc7f61"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"base":72},"unit":"months","definition":"complete_application_accepted_to_full_firm_energization","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"High","coverage":"typical case, not a quote","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap in practice","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PJM speed-to-power, RMI","title":"PJM speed-to-power, RMI","url":"https://rmi.org/pjms-speed-to-power-problem-and-how-to-fix-it/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"process stages","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","title":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","url":"https://insidelines.pjm.com/over-800-new-generation-projects-seek-to-connect-under-pjms-reformed-process/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","title":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","url":"https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-interconnection-queue-gas-solar-nuclear/818824/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; 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this is NOT a load withdrawal rate unless queue_type is load","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"High","coverage":"cohort-based","model_uncertainty":"cohort definition varies","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","title":"Over 800 projects seek to connect, PJM Inside Lines (2026)","url":"https://insidelines.pjm.com/over-800-new-generation-projects-seek-to-connect-under-pjms-reformed-process/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","title":"Gas leads PJM reopened queue at 106 GW, Utility Dive","url":"https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-interconnection-queue-gas-solar-nuclear/818824/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:32345da884bbc503a7502045246ec7439d31c93ea16b4b625a0d4a7c3b40af20"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:forward_capacity_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"forward_capacity_cost","value":{"base":"$333.44 per MW-day","level":"Severe","period":"2027/28 delivery year"},"unit":null,"definition":"clearing price for firm capacity in the market's forward capacity auction, for the stated delivery period","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"forward","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"auction result","coverage":"delivery period 2027/28 delivery year","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PJM 2027/28 Base Residual Auction (RTO Insider)","title":"PJM 2027/28 Base Residual Auction (RTO Insider)","url":"https://www.rtoinsider.com/121911-pjm-capacity-auction-clears-max-price-falls-short-reliability-requirement/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"auction result","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"PJM's capacity auction cleared at a record $333.44 per MW-day for 2027/28, the maximum allowed, and for the first time the whole region fell short of its reliability target. The forward cost of firm capacity is at its historical ceiling, driven by data-center load outpacing new supply. TREND: Rising to the ceiling: cleared at the regulator-approved cap, with the region short of its reliability requirement for the first time","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:d235e034230592b2c8ca6d0dec98d1e72029364929dd1622919da28007dc8327"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:scheduled_change:june-2026:1","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"scheduled_change","value":{"base":"FERC decision on PJM's Interim Resource Adequacy Service filing","effective":"By Oct 2026","year":2026},"unit":null,"definition":"a dated, already-announced event that will affect a large load sited here. A published fact with a source, not our forecast.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited announcement","coverage":"stated timing By Oct 2026","model_uncertainty":"announced timing can slip","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PJM Inside Lines","title":"PJM Inside Lines","url":"https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-proposes-framework-to-connect-data-centers-without-compromising-reliability-affordability/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"announcement","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"PJM asked for acceptance within 60 days of its 13 Aug 2026 filing. Acceptance would put new large loads without their own capacity first in line for curtailment and exclude them from procured capacity need from 2029/2030.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:66c6f7b61735441c9ab5169d95f7d1c16358319c764cc4579f2a7adbf6611e2f"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:scheduled_change:june-2026:2","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"scheduled_change","value":{"base":"FERC ruling on the abeyance requests in the six large-load Section 206 dockets","effective":"Outstanding","year":null},"unit":null,"definition":"a dated, already-announced event that will affect a large load sited here. A published fact with a source, not our forecast.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited announcement","coverage":"stated timing Outstanding","model_uncertainty":"announced timing can slip","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Federal Register, FERC notice, Docket EL26-67-000","title":"Federal Register, FERC notice, Docket EL26-67-000","url":"https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/08/04/2026-15779/pjm-interconnection-llc","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"announcement","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"All six RTOs asked on 28 Jul and 3 Aug 2026 to pause their proceedings for 90 days. Until the Commission rules, the 17 Aug 2026 response deadline and everything downstream of it are unsettled.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:796251b6342f56e10f6c776772c7a838ba2e7479fb2f45f53ca0821eab0a6431"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:scheduled_change:june-2026:3","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"scheduled_change","value":{"base":"PJM Reliability Backstop Procurement targeted to commence 30 Sep 2026","effective":"Sep 2026","year":2026},"unit":null,"definition":"a dated, already-announced event that will affect a large load sited here. 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PJM's proposal for it is itself still before FERC.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:71b7ace1d7e0f123449f162e5bc2bcaa0b2daf7a8a59db86d7769bc58c6eb9e7"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:delivery_reliability_saidi:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","value":{"base":131.3},"unit":"minutes per customer per year","definition":"regulator outage measure (SAIDI or stated equivalent) for the distribution network;","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"regulator filing","coverage":"year 2024","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"EIA Form 861, Schedules 3B and 3C (annual electric power industry report) (major event days identified by the respondent's own method, not IEEE 1366, customer-weighted blend of 1 of 1 territories, 100% of customers, regional context only)","title":"EIA Form 861, Schedules 3B and 3C (annual electric power industry report) (major event days identified by the respondent's own method, not IEEE 1366, customer-weighted blend of 1 of 1 territories, 100% of customers, regional context only)","url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/","published_at":"2024","retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability summary","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:93ba8b354d37d008e6f9853cf6bce6dd96033157ef468a4713308247a5f2d213"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"elevated","label":"Tight"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"forward","method_source_label":"assessed","confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PJM capacity prices hit record (Utility Dive)","title":"PJM capacity prices hit record (Utility Dive)","url":"https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-interconnection-capacity-auction-data-center/808264/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"NERC 2024 LTRA (PJM elevated-risk)","title":"NERC 2024 LTRA (PJM elevated-risk)","url":"https://www.nerc.com/globalassets/our-work/assessments/2024-ltra_corrected_july_2025.pdf","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Reserve margins are tightening as data-center demand surges: the 2025 capacity auction cleared at the $333/MW-day cap with an installed reserve margin near 14.8%, below the 20% target, and FERC members flagged reliability concerns. Mitigants include possible retirement deferrals and a lower forecast peak.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:0a3656389476a42a9e3afe01dc8cec5cd880ca6ac169d59a1c8a5bf5d41fe8ab"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":290},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:206a36fbefb3b0b75f2a1d707233eff32dfc41a3bc169d24e2cca7ffb0aad06a"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:local_deliverability:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"local_deliverability","value":{"base":"constrained","granularity":"county and service area, with named dated relief projects"},"unit":null,"definition":"whether capacity at the point of connection can be established from operator publications. State vocabulary: not_assessed | published_checkable | constrained | known. published_checkable means the operator publishes checkable capacity, NOT that we have checked the bus for a specific project.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"operator publication","coverage":"county and service area, with named dated relief projects","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific until the named substation is checked","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Data Center Requests, Dominion Energy Virginia","title":"Data Center Requests, Dominion Energy Virginia","url":"https://www.dominionenergy.com/en/Virginia/Large-Business-Services/Data-Center-Requests","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"capacity map","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Dominion's contracted capacity pipeline rose from roughly 40 GW in early 2025 to about 47.1 GW by October 2025, pushing connection waits out by years, and a constraint in Loudoun County suppressed new connections outright. Dated relief is under way: the Golden-to-Mars 500 kV loop serves more than 40 new substations, and the Culpeper Technology Zone project adds about 1.2 GW for three of six new AI sites. Dominion publishes no per-substation capacity map for large load. HOW TO CHECK: Submit through Dominion's Data Center Requests process for a site-specific capacity position. Do NOT read Dominion's Hosting Capacity Tool as load capacity: it models additional generation on distribution feeders.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:d1c66f44d4e49ef8c485ce76698301ec9e6f3a3ff7a6bcf254198365e436df38"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:northern-virginia:regulatory_momentum:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"northern-virginia","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:northern-virginia"},"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","value":{"base":"mixed","direction":"worsening"},"unit":null,"definition":"direction and steadiness of the rules governing large-load connection (stroke-of-pen risk)","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited dated developments","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"regulatory momentum","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"FERC preliminarily found PJM's large-load tariff unjust (Section 206) and a DOE order allows curtailing data centres as a class; co-location and cost-allocation economics are in flux. WHAT WOULD CHANGE IT: The FERC process settling on workable co-location and cost-allocation rules for large loads.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:242deb0adf0af10e1160295b1a9107943d6c851bc818c1fb1300f729f315b0b8"}],"gaps":[],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}