{"market_id":"norway","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":6,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":1,"label":"Prime"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Cheap, clean hydro with genuine surplus makes this one of the strongest markets anywhere for a large new load. Two constraints temper it: southern-zone prices track the continent, and local tolerance for data centres is thinning.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:e0f2dee9c993288e581e658210c793c545daa38b88a8c4c13c186cdd1b62c36a"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":40,"base":55,"high":75},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled","coverage":"2 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Non-household electricity prices, Nordics low (Eurostat)","title":"Non-household electricity prices, Nordics low (Eurostat)","url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","title":"EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(components)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"component":"Wholesale energy","usd_per_mwh":35},{"component":"Network charges","usd_per_mwh":15},{"component":"Taxes & levies","usd_per_mwh":5}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Predominantly hydro energy, low in the north and higher in the south where interconnectors track continental prices, plus modest network charges. The energy line is a blend across zones, above the northern spot.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:fdc4ccd15fa34683cda10a108e471c5192bccdd917cb96adf835204ccbd9dd77"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"low":12,"base":24,"high":36},"unit":"months","definition":"from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW, expressed as a band. Initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate, earlier milestones. Derived from the operator process and market evidence rather than a measured project cohort.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":"proxy","confidence":{"source_quality":"Med","coverage":"band, not a measured cohort","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap and vary by project","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Argus: Nordic data centres and power demand","title":"Argus: Nordic data centres and power demand","url":"https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2806298-nordic-data-centres-to-support-power-demand-growth","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"process stages","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(stage_durations)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"stage":"Application & site","months":4},{"stage":"Grid study & connection offer","months":8},{"stage":"Agreement & works planning","months":6},{"stage":"Construction & energization","months":6}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Abundant hydro and fast connections; OpenAI chose Narvik.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:0c67a6b49def7bd02c98f6c2fce0642f0a0e3390f490e12ecf8f6a4ecad0f619"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"none","label":"No adequacy flags"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability overlay","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:c7f564b24f1de894d7ad2933893877d522366a3997b48577b45a9916c063a2b4"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":30},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:870ec25e8c05998373e243c74aa32bfbcb9301f0af3de479f39c9bd05af24cc0"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:norway:regulatory_momentum:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"norway","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:norway"},"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","value":{"base":"mixed","direction":"stable"},"unit":null,"definition":"direction and steadiness of the rules governing large-load connection (stroke-of-pen risk)","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited dated developments","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"regulatory momentum","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Statnett has indefinitely postponed new connections above 5 MW north of Svartisen and holds a large-load queue of roughly 4,390 MW against 2,691 MW already reserved for data centres; since February 2025 it gives grid-allocation priority to sites that recover waste heat. WHAT WOULD CHANGE IT: Statnett clearing the northern connection backlog so large loads outside the reserved blocks can secure firm dates.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:eb89c4e67f0e0aa22ab41c497eb0a9fd3d435a9401e30303e113c3474ea1682e"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}