{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":8,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":2,"label":"Strong"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Cheap, clean hydro and a proven hub. It sits just below the top tier because the BPA connection queue is tightening: the fundamentals are excellent, but the path to actually connect is getting harder.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:62825db85b4e05d0f9ec23b3f05420e17d8f1670c1848acde2faf80f59ca326f"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:generation_storage_queue_depth:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"generation_storage_queue_depth","value":{"base":130},"unit":"GW","definition":"capacity in the generation and storage queue, population \"active\"","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"Low","coverage":"operator-published total","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"A modelled share of the non-ISO West queue, which measured 567 GW at end-2025 (LBNL Queued Up 2026, down from 706 GW); our regional apportionment is scaled with that decline. BPA study timelines and transmission remain the constraint.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:a548c5f49e1ba92c3e73572901da0a4b1a595ecb2528f03cd28eb0242ea79961"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"base":55},"unit":"months","definition":"complete_application_accepted_to_full_firm_energization","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"Low","coverage":"typical case, not a quote","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap in practice","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:9007462fb62d998eb1d6c6599222c47ca7f8a5831773611390a3d86a135153b8"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:queue_withdrawal_rate:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"queue_withdrawal_rate","value":{"base":75},"unit":"percent","definition":"share of capacity that left the generation and storage queue before connecting; this is NOT a load withdrawal rate unless queue_type is load","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"Low","coverage":"cohort-based","model_uncertainty":"cohort definition varies","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","title":"LBNL Queued Up 2026","url":"https://emp.lbl.gov/queues","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:9d0dde51f4bd8ecf0bb9b88da93307f620b0c81140d669033edf7ab36c6e5986"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:delivery_reliability_saidi:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","value":{"base":152.68},"unit":"minutes per customer per year","definition":"regulator outage measure (SAIDI or stated equivalent) for the distribution network;","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"regulator filing","coverage":"year 2024","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"EIA Form 861, Schedules 3B and 3C (annual electric power industry report) (two major-event methods, IEEE; respondent-defined, customer-weighted blend of 51 of 55 territories, 98% of customers, regional context only)","title":"EIA Form 861, Schedules 3B and 3C (annual electric power industry report) (two major-event methods, IEEE; respondent-defined, customer-weighted blend of 51 of 55 territories, 98% of customers, regional context only)","url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/","published_at":"2024","retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability summary","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:e81d429af91e513e2a49d2059564452d4ca913c05b07e38e7d78513ab85ff70a"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"elevated","label":"Tight"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"forward","method_source_label":"assessed","confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PNW energy-shortage risk in extreme conditions (Spokesman)","title":"PNW energy-shortage risk in extreme conditions (Spokesman)","url":"https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2025/oct/22/pacific-northwest-could-face-energy-shortage-durin/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Drought cuts PNW hydropower (EIA)","title":"Drought cuts PNW hydropower (EIA)","url":"https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=63664","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The Northwest holds most US hydro capacity, so a dry hydro year combined with an extended cold snap is the region's rolling-blackout risk; BPA has warned of a widening resource gap and took large drought-driven revenue losses.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:80bde039276a16cc9cacc6abd9d5baf6a8d2551da05fb1eae03a5fb7eaf7e444"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":80},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:933469c5c1aa5644266f1919bbee15e41a06532c5db612898ddd4eacc538a78e"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:pacific-northwest:regulatory_momentum:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"pacific-northwest","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:pacific-northwest"},"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","value":{"base":"mixed","direction":"stable"},"unit":null,"definition":"direction and steadiness of the rules governing large-load connection (stroke-of-pen risk)","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited dated developments","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"High"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"regulatory momentum","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"BPA is federally administered and outside FERC's Section 206 orders; it has paused its long-term queue under a Grid Access Transformation Project and is weighing readiness requirements and a 13 MW large-load threshold. Transmission is available except in data-centre pockets like central Oregon and the Portland metro, where about 18 GW of BPA's 24 GW load request is data centres. WHAT WOULD CHANGE IT: The Grid Access Transformation reform reopening a clear queue with firm connection dates for large loads.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:776cc3230b15333baadf8ab66e0fa6725bf5fae7071f4151ebc68ec0357d1743"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","requires":"recurring cost for the declared archetype","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no compiled cost band for this market yet (check administered_large_user_tariff: where a regulated tariff exists it is the price actually paid)","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}