{"market_id":"philippines","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":5,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:philippines:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"philippines","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:philippines"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":4,"label":"Constrained"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Big data-center ambition (about 18 GW targeted) and a real wholesale market, but a coal-heavy, alert-prone Luzon grid and high, volatile power cost keep it a friction market for a new large load.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:f5fa97f3c55c2d0db54ccdc3f165aec7c7e5e47af65f83a468a8a4a8c2394b93"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:philippines:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"philippines","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:philippines"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":140,"base":170,"high":210},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"triangulated","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"triangulated","coverage":"2 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Philippines on-grid tariff about $178 per MWh (Eco-Business)","title":"Philippines on-grid tariff about $178 per MWh (Eco-Business)","url":"https://www.eco-business.com/news/high-costs-higher-risks-can-the-philippines-power-its-data-centre-hub-ambitions/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Meralco rates and charges","title":"Meralco rates and charges","url":"https://company.meralco.com.ph/news-and-advisories/rates-archives","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Meralco rates and charges","title":"Meralco rates and charges","url":"https://company.meralco.com.ph/news-and-advisories/rates-archives","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(components)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"component":"Generation (WESM & PSA blend)","usd_per_mwh":100},{"component":"Transmission (NGCP)","usd_per_mwh":25},{"component":"Distribution & system loss","usd_per_mwh":35},{"component":"Taxes & other","usd_per_mwh":10}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The Philippines has a wholesale spot market (WESM), but most supply is contracted through bilateral PSAs, so generation dominates the bill; peso weakness against the dollar and dry-season WESM spikes (near 12 pesos per kWh in early 2025) push it up.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:5ebf1c78626d5ab4a1d976b243c8abce6c4264881c6095eee0b3ebc6de83ac6f"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:philippines:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"philippines","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:philippines"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"low":24,"base":36,"high":48},"unit":"months","definition":"from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW, expressed as a band. 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Thin reserve margins put a large new load at real risk during peak and dry-season conditions.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:809a34b17905a7f69aaff0d57e5e46532753698629f894220893a6643369d647"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","requires":"average operational carbon intensity","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no grid snapshot compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","requires":"direction and steadiness of connection rules","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no dated regulatory read compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}