{"market_id":"thailand","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":6,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":3,"label":"Workable"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Southeast Asia's data-centre magnet right now (AWS, a wave of BOI-approved projects), with moderate ERC-set tariffs. The limits are transmission constraints for hyperscale load and a gas-heavy grid.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:6c217995625984f76260ff96bfc9a2f8e77cc867ac724d52c46e4a98952d468e"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":90,"base":105,"high":125},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"tariff","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"administered","coverage":"1 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"ERC power tariff 3.95 baht per unit (The Nation)","title":"ERC power tariff 3.95 baht per unit (The Nation)","url":"https://www.nationthailand.com/business/economy/40064550","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Thailand electricity prices (GlobalPetrolPrices)","title":"Thailand electricity prices (GlobalPetrolPrices)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/Thailand/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"ERC power tariff (The Nation)","title":"ERC power tariff (The Nation)","url":"https://www.nationthailand.com/business/economy/40064550","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Thailand has no wholesale market; the ERC sets a national tariff (around 4 baht per kWh) applied by MEA and PEA, with a wide time-of-use spread. A 2,000 MW direct-PPA pilot is opening an alternative for data centres.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:715f9ee2fabf35c49ada59c3bee430721fd9db32e72b39fbfe345fac9be2fa7b"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"low":24,"base":36,"high":48},"unit":"months","definition":"from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW, expressed as a band. Initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate, earlier milestones. Derived from the operator process and market evidence rather than a measured project cohort.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":"proxy","confidence":{"source_quality":"Med","coverage":"band, not a measured cohort","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap and vary by project","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Nation Thailand: EGAT grid upgrade for data centres","title":"Nation Thailand: EGAT grid upgrade for data centres","url":"https://www.nationthailand.com/news/policy/40058561","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"process stages","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(stage_durations)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"stage":"Application & EGAT / PEA study","months":9},{"stage":"Grid connection agreement","months":9},{"stage":"Network reinforcement","months":9},{"stage":"Construction & energization","months":9}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The Eastern Economic Corridor is bottlenecked; siting outside it (Bangkok, Ayutthaya) connects faster.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:6bd9c355d3e92f75b7e19d12a46898bbbcb7cb5b9ba61066dd75fb433137b431"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:scheduled_change:june-2026:1","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"scheduled_change","value":{"base":"EGAT transmission upgrades and the 2,000 MW direct-PPA pilot advance","effective":"2026","year":2026},"unit":null,"definition":"a dated, already-announced event that will affect a large load sited here. A published fact with a source, not our forecast.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited announcement","coverage":"stated timing 2026","model_uncertainty":"announced timing can slip","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"EGAT grid upgrade for data centres (The Nation)","title":"EGAT grid upgrade for data centres (The Nation)","url":"https://www.nationthailand.com/news/policy/40058561","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"announcement","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Both target the transmission bottleneck that gates the largest EEC hyperscale campuses.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:37959f5e258a3c6c97de21c10deb6bd2fcd8d98fae6d5e69b30c3c5b838be6fd"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"none","label":"No adequacy flags"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"reliability overlay","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":null,"schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:716f02c1933779853a6d4cc662b6f5b684aaec6e070782c521c002d303cd3261"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:thailand:regulatory_momentum:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"thailand","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:thailand"},"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","value":{"base":"favourable","direction":"improving"},"unit":null,"definition":"direction and steadiness of the rules governing large-load connection (stroke-of-pen risk)","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited dated developments","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"regulatory momentum","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"A 2,000 MW direct-PPA pilot is opening for data centres and EGAT is investing to upgrade the Eastern Economic Corridor transmission bottleneck. WHAT WOULD CHANGE IT: The direct-PPA pilot stalling or the EGAT transmission upgrades slipping.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:00c25418e0626c448e84c6366e81a25cdaa4aee9bdf46d0e19d481890283427b"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","requires":"average operational carbon intensity","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no grid snapshot compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}