{"market_id":"uae","generated_at":"June 2026","schema_version":"1.0","claim_count":7,"claims":[{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:pgiq_tier:june-2026","claim_type":"opinion","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"pgiq_tier","value":{"base":1,"label":"Prime"},"unit":null,"definition":"PGIQ tier for siting a large new electricity load; a directional screen, not a connection guarantee","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"expert_judgment","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"n/a (opinion)","coverage":"all rated markets","model_uncertainty":"n/a","opinion_confidence":"Med"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tier definitions","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Among the strongest markets anywhere for a large new load: some of the cheapest power on the board, state-backed fast connection, and a wave of AI investment. The one caveat is carbon. A buyer who weights carbon heavily would rank the UAE lower, because the grid runs on gas.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:833460de9e545906007154d95541e404d9475cb413374eaf4595ec002dafe3e9"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:recurring_power_cost:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"recurring_power_cost","value":{"low":50,"base":65,"high":85},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"recurring energy, network, delivery, taxes and levies per MWh; EXCLUDES customer-funded connection capital","project_archetype":"100mw_flat_95pct_lf_transmission_level","as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled","coverage":"2 public fragments","model_uncertainty":"band spans structuring outcomes","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","title":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/United-Arab-Emirates/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"Abu Dhabi commercial tariff (UAE utility guide)","title":"Abu Dhabi commercial tariff (UAE utility guide)","url":"https://utilitybilluae.com/guide/abu-dhabi-tariffs-2026/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"},{"publisher":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices, Dec 2025)","title":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices, Dec 2025)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/United-Arab-Emirates/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"price components","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The band reflects the regulated utility rate on abundant gas and among the world's cheapest solar; it is a tariff, not a spot price, and Abu Dhabi sits below Dubai.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:83ff44f3ba6d8dcce60e0e2d5a17109f235aa23e80900f3e3ae9a66be22dacfd"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:connection_wait:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"connection_wait","value":{"low":12,"base":24,"high":36},"unit":"months","definition":"from a complete application being accepted to full firm energization of the nominated MW, expressed as a band. Initial, phased, temporary and conditional energization are separate, earlier milestones. Derived from the operator process and market evidence rather than a measured project cohort.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":"proxy","confidence":{"source_quality":"Med","coverage":"band, not a measured cohort","model_uncertainty":"stage durations overlap and vary by project","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","title":"UAE electricity price (GlobalPetrolPrices)","url":"https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/United-Arab-Emirates/electricity_prices/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"process stages","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":{"formula":"sum(stage_durations)","model_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","inputs":[{"stage":"Application & approval","months":4},{"stage":"Grid study & connection offer","months":6},{"stage":"Network works","months":8},{"stage":"Construction & energization","months":6}]},"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"State-backed and fast: DEWA and EWEC coordinate large-load connections on abundant gas and cheap solar.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:335342aba3cf5fd97ac9cf782490f4ff92413d09cd971876e63b7998c0daaa79"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:administered_large_user_tariff:june-2026","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"administered_large_user_tariff","value":{"base":80,"native":"about 26 to 32 fils per kWh"},"unit":"USD/MWh","definition":"regulated large-user industrial tariff, the price a large load actually pays where no competitive wholesale market exists. A published rate, not an all-in build-up: it may exclude network or delivery components billed separately.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"measured","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"regulator or utility tariff sheet","coverage":"year 2026","model_uncertainty":"rate, not a modelled band","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"EtihadWE large-industrial incentive rate","title":"EtihadWE large-industrial incentive rate","url":"https://etihadwe.ae/en/About/Pages/Tariff.aspx","published_at":"2026","retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"tariff schedule","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The United Arab Emirates has no competitive wholesale market, so a large load pays an administered tariff, not a spot price. EtihadWE's large-load incentive rate for data centres and heavy industry is about 26 to 32 fils per kWh (roughly 7 to 9 US cents, or 70 to 90 US dollars per MWh), plus a fuel surcharge. That is the honest delivered cost, far above the cheap-gas generation cost, and it places the UAE mid-pack globally rather than among the cheapest.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:632ee614182a3951de6ce1a12948673f2a3cd21258ebf4107a1cb7e56c4faf26"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:scheduled_change:june-2026:1","claim_type":"fact","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"scheduled_change","value":{"base":"First 200 MW of the Stargate UAE campus targeted for energization","effective":"2026","year":2026},"unit":null,"definition":"a dated, already-announced event that will affect a large load sited here. A published fact with a source, not our forecast.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"reported","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"cited announcement","coverage":"stated timing 2026","model_uncertainty":"announced timing can slip","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"OpenAI","title":"OpenAI","url":"https://openai.com/index/introducing-stargate-uae/","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"announcement","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"The initial tranche of the 5 GW Abu Dhabi build; confirms the pace of the Tier 1 momentum.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:2e074f50942fb421b7ca29115cd57fe8165ae9d54063314d8a0e735c9e3e3e55"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:forward_adequacy:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"forward_adequacy","value":{"base":"watch","label":"Adequacy flagged"},"unit":null,"definition":"forward firm-supply adequacy for a prospective large new load; level vocabulary none|watch|elevated|severe","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"modelled read","coverage":"market-level","model_uncertainty":"not site-specific","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"Barakah at ~25% of UAE electricity (World Nuclear Assoc.)","title":"Barakah at ~25% of UAE electricity (World Nuclear Assoc.)","url":"https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-t-z/united-arab-emirates","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"page","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Firm baseload is strong (Barakah nuclear supplies about 25% of national electricity, roughly 5.6 GW), but extreme-heat cooling demand drives high summer peaks; capacity is expanding to match.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:5dd30aa171c97eb5b6a70ee39182cb8453c1edd21fc857c736ebc9f44ea9149a"},{"claim_id":"pgiq:claim:uae:average_operational_carbon_intensity:june-2026","claim_type":"estimate","status":"active","subject":{"market_id":"uae","geography_id":"pgiq:geo:uae"},"predicate":"average_operational_carbon_intensity","value":{"base":400},"unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","definition":"Estimated average operational grid emissions intensity in gCO2e per kWh, for a declared geography, period and system boundary, using direct operational emission factors. The generation-versus-consumption basis, imports, delivery losses, temporal granularity, factor set, factor vintage and uncertainty are disclosed or marked unknown. Permitted for location-based grid comparison only. It is not a marginal-emissions estimate, a lifecycle assessment, a procurement claim, or by itself a market-based Scope 2 result.","project_archetype":null,"as_of":"June 2026","valid_for":{"start":"June 2026","end":null},"method":"modelled","method_source_label":null,"confidence":{"source_quality":"stated generation mix","coverage":"market-level annual average","model_uncertainty":"average, not marginal or lifecycle","opinion_confidence":"n/a"},"sources":[{"publisher":"PGIQ methodology","title":"PGIQ methodology","url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology","published_at":null,"retrieved_at":"June 2026","locator":"carbon basis","quote_or_field":null,"license":"public source, cited under fair use","redistribution_rights":"link and quote with attribution; no bulk redistribution"}],"transform":null,"contradictions":[],"supersedes":null,"note":"Average operational intensity from the stated generation mix. Not marginal, lifecycle or market-based Scope 2.","schema_version":"1.0","methodology_version":"pgiq-rating-v2","definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","content_hash":"sha256:ffc53d41c949582ceabd40f28e663c29b12da2f0325158e3312fd6aa4ef92e19"}],"gaps":[{"predicate":"delivery_reliability_saidi","requires":"measured regulator outage record","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no regulator outage series compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":true},{"predicate":"regulatory_momentum","requires":"direction and steadiness of connection rules","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no dated regulatory read compiled for this market yet","blocks_project_case":false},{"predicate":"local_deliverability","requires":"capacity at the substation you would connect to","state":"not_assessed","reason":"no operator publication of area or substation capacity found for this market","blocks_project_case":true}],"note":"A gap is not evidence that the risk is absent. It means we have not assessed it."}