{"id":"germany","rid":"DE","name":"Germany","flag":"🇩🇪","group":"europe","type":"overview","parent":null,"regions":["germany-north","germany-south"],"tier_range":"3-4","tier":3,"tier_name":"Workable","score":53,"pillar_score":57,"pillar_tier":3,"pillar_tier_name":"Workable","reliability":{"assessed":true,"level":"watch","dock":4,"provisional":false,"confidence":"High","delivery_transmission":{"level":"none","measure":"measured","note":"Bulk-system security of supply held through the 2023 nuclear exit, with no national supply interruption or load shedding reported over the transition.","sources":[{"label":"German supply highly reliable through nuclear exit (Clean Energy Wire)","url":"https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/german-electricity-supply-continued-be-highly-reliable-during-energy-crisis-nuclear-phase-out"}]},"delivery_distribution":{"level":"none","measure":"measured","note":"Local delivery performance is strong on the operator's own measure: average customer interruption (SAIDI) was 12.8 minutes in 2023, in line with the ten-year average.","sources":[{"label":"Bundesnetzagentur SAIDI","url":"https://www.bundesnetzagentur.de/SharedDocs/Pressemitteilungen/EN/2025/20251009_SAIDI_Strom.html"}]},"forward_capacity":{"level":"watch","measure":"assessed","note":"Germany is a tale of two regions. The wind-rich north runs a surplus and is favorable for a large load; the industrial south (Bavaria, Baden-Wurttemberg) lost most of its nuclear in 2023 and depends on northern power over a bottlenecked grid. The north-south fix, SuedLink (about 4 GW HVDC), is delayed to roughly 2028, leaving costly redispatch in the interim. A southern siting faces materially higher transmission and adequacy risk than a northern one; on its own the south would rate closer to Elevated.","sources":[{"label":"Germany starts SuedLink north-south line (Clean Energy Wire)","url":"https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/germany-starts-construction-north-south-power-line-pivotal-energy-transition"}]},"regional_docks":{"germany-north":0,"germany-south":7},"read":"Minor flags found","level_means":"reviewed; flags found"},"reliability_dock":4,"regulatory_momentum":null,"scheduled_changes":null,"queue":null,"friction":null,"connection_pathway":null,"service_evidence":null,"reliability_metrics":null,"forward_cost":null,"tariff":null,"realized_cost":null,"cost_availability":{"label":"Standardized cost observable","means":"A comparable recurring-cost band can be built from observable, applicable inputs for the standard archetype, but PowerGridIQ does not publish one for this market yet.","user_action":"There is no band to use here today. The inputs are observable, so this is our work to finish rather than evidence you need to gather -- do not engage the utility on our behalf, and do not treat the absence as a finding about the market. Read cost_evidence_state.remedy for what is outstanding.","class":"standardized_observable","band_published":false},"cost_evidence_state":{"state":"applicable_evidence_incomplete","answerable":"conditionally","label":"Applicable, evidence incomplete","means":"The archetype can buy the service and the band is sound, but some published figures do not yet carry their own source, date, method and confidence.","remedy":"Finish the per-line provenance. No new access or negotiation is required.","also_holds":[],"vocabulary_version":"evidence-state-1.0"},"jurisdiction_evidence":null,"cost_structure":null,"cost_withdrawn":null,"cost_correction":null,"carbon_correction":null,"carbon_official_reference":null,"partial_cost_verified":null,"cost_pillar_calculation":null,"evidence":{"source_reliability":"High","coverage":"Partial","coverage_dimensions":1,"last_reviewed":"June 2026","measured_layers":1,"data_layers":1,"layers":[{"layer":"PGIQ Rating opinion","method":"opinion","vintage":"June 2026","freshness":"Current","source_url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology"},{"layer":"Reliability review","method":"measured","vintage":"2025","freshness":"Fresh","source_url":"https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/german-electricity-supply-continued-be-highly-reliable-during-energy-crisis-nuclear-phase-out"}]},"outlook":"Stable","confidence":"High","under_review":false,"thesis":"Frankfurt is the continent's number-one hub (high momentum), but the national rating is dragged by a constrained, north/south-split grid and high cost. The honest read differs by region: the wind-rich north is materially more attractive than the congested south.","pillars":{"access":45,"availability":58,"cost":45,"momentum":80,"carbon":46},"pillar_rationale":{"access":"Constrained access: a north/south transmission bottleneck and delayed HVDC corridors; connection is workable but planning-heavy.","availability":"Moderate availability, tightening with the coal and nuclear exit.","cost":"High cost: among Europe's more expensive wholesale markets.","momentum":"High momentum: Frankfurt (~750 MW) anchors the FLAP-D cluster.","carbon":"Moderate carbon (~380 g annual), still coal-influenced despite high renewables."},"offtake_opportunity_index":null,"demand_hunger":null,"build_feasibility":null,"supplier_signals":null,"outlook_drivers":{"upgrade":["HVDC corridors complete and relieve the north-south bottleneck.","Siting in the wind-rich north ahead of the build-out."],"downgrade":["Grid congestion and cost worsen for new large load.","Coal-exit tightens availability faster than renewables fill in."]},"risks":["North/south congestion (the national tier understates the north, overstates the south).","High and volatile power cost."],"peers":{"like":"Netherlands (major hub, grid-constrained)","ahead":"on momentum","behind":"Nordics on cost and openness"},"sources":[{"label":"FLAP-D capacity, JLL/CBRE EMEA","url":"https://www.jll.com/en-uk/insights/emea-data-centre-report"}],"latest_action":{"date":"Jul 2026","type":"Affirmed","note":"National score moves 57 to 53 as the overview now carries the average of its regions' reliability adjustments (North 0, South 7) instead of an unapplied national dock. Tier 3 affirmed; the region ratings are unchanged and remain the actionable ones.","trigger":"Overview reliability-adjustment consistency (methodology note, Jul 2026)"},"grid":{"price_usd_mwh":80,"carbon_intensity_g":350,"renewable_pct":55,"renewable_generation_share_pct":55,"low_carbon_generation_share_pct":55,"fuel_mix":{"wind":32,"solar":12,"gas":18,"coal":26,"biofuel":7,"hydro":4,"storage":1},"demand_mw":56000,"capacity_mw":130000,"imports_mw":8000,"exports_mw":6000,"firm_capacity_mw":null,"firm_capacity_availability":"insufficient_evidence","firm_capacity_basis":null,"est_peak_mw":85120,"firm_headroom_mw":null,"firm_headroom_availability":"dependency_unavailable","peak_stress_pct":null,"peak_stress_availability":"dependency_unavailable","adequacy_required_input":"capacity_mix_mw with a declared basis, or an official dependable or accredited capacity from the operator","price_cycle":"other","price_basis":"not_reviewed","price_absent_reason":null,"price_source":"modelled-baseline","price_as_of":null,"price_vintage":"undated_modelled_baseline","price_is_live":false,"carbon_intensity_unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","carbon_measurement_boundary":"operational_combustion","carbon_calculation_method":"structural_estimate","carbon_emission_factor_source":null,"carbon_basis_withdrawn":true,"carbon_imports_treatment":"not_accounted","carbon_provenance_state":"structural","carbon_decision_eligibility":"insufficient_evidence","carbon_confidence":"low","source":"modelled-baseline"},"evidence_depth":{"use_case":"project_case","use_case_label":"Standardized Project Case","overall":"M1 Broad","overall_permits":"Directional only: supports discovery, comparison and monitoring, not a project decision.","insufficient_evidence":false,"unassessed_required_fields":[],"project_ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"fields":{"reliability":"M2 Compiled","local_capacity":"not_assessed","connection":"M1 Broad","regulatory":"M2 Compiled","carbon":"M2 Compiled","cost":"M3 Project-ready"},"by_use_case":{"discovery":{"label":"Discovery and monitoring","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"market_comparison":{"label":"Market comparison","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case":{"label":"Standardized Project Case","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case_carbon":{"label":"Project Case with a carbon requirement","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["carbon","connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"site_diligence":{"label":"Conditional site diligence","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""}},"reliability_layers":{"bulk_historical":{"state":"held","method":"measured"},"forward_adequacy":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"local_delivery":{"state":"held","method":"measured"},"contractual_service":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"designed_site_resilience":{"state":"unknown","method":null}},"definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","scale":"M1 broad / M2 compiled / M3 project-ready / M4 local; cumulative, so each tier includes the ones below it. Assigned per field from held evidence with provenance. Not a rating strength, confidence score or feasibility conclusion.","assessment":"aggregated_from_constituents","aggregation":"weakest constituent, per field","aggregation_version":"depth-aggregate-1.0","derived_from":["germany-north","germany-south"],"why":"This is a summary row covering Germany North (Hamburg), Germany South (Frankfurt/Munich). It is not separately researched, so its evidence depth is the weakest of its constituent markets rather than an assessment of the summary itself. Screen and compare on the constituent markets, not on this row. local_capacity is not_assessed here by construction: a local-deliverability finding belongs to a bus or a substation and does not aggregate to a region."},"next_review":null,"report_url":"https://powergridiq.com/rating/germany","as_of":"June 2026","evidence_layers":{"version":"evidence-layers-1.0","band":{"state":"insufficient_evidence","label":"Insufficient evidence","means":"No band is published because the available evidence does not support one.","reproducible":false},"component":null,"cost_pillar":{"state":"analyst_assessment","label":"Analyst assessment","means":"The score is a judgement recorded with a written cost-specific rationale. It is not calculated from a formula and does not claim to be.","reproducible":false},"layers_are_independent":"Band, component and cost-pillar evidence are separate judgments. A market may have a sound, applicable band and an illustrative component breakdown at the same time. Do not read a component-evidence limitation as a statement about the band."},"overview":{"is_market":false,"row_type":"overview","summarises":["germany-north","germany-south"],"what_it_is":"A summary row covering the markets named in `summarises`. It is not separately researched and is excluded from /api/v1/markets, /screen, /best and the ranked cost table.","instead":"Screen, rank and compare on the markets in `summarises`. Fetch each at /api/v1/ratings/{id}.","evidence_depth_note":"Its evidence_depth is the weakest of its constituents, aggregated rather than assessed. local_capacity is not_assessed by construction: local deliverability belongs to a bus, not a region."}}