{"id":"germany-north","rid":"DE-N","name":"Germany North (Hamburg)","flag":"🇩🇪","group":"europe","type":"market","parent":"germany","regions":null,"tier_range":null,"tier":3,"tier_name":"Workable","score":57,"pillar_score":57,"pillar_tier":3,"pillar_tier_name":"Workable","reliability":{"assessed":true,"level":"none","dock":0,"provisional":false,"confidence":"High","delivery_transmission":{"level":"none","measure":"measured","note":"Germany's delivery reliability is world-class (about 12.8 minutes average interruption in 2023), and the north runs a generation surplus.","sources":[{"label":"German supply reliability (Clean Energy Wire)","url":"https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/german-electricity-supply-continued-be-highly-reliable-during-energy-crisis-nuclear-phase-out"}]},"delivery_distribution":{"level":"none"},"forward_capacity":{"level":"none"},"read":"No reliability flags found","level_means":"reviewed; no reliability flags found in the record we examined"},"reliability_dock":0,"regulatory_momentum":{"level":"mixed","direction":"improving","why":"Northern Germany has surplus wind but the binding constraint is grid access, which the national data-centre strategy (18 March 2026) names as the decisive factor for 2026 to 2030; the Energy Efficiency Act requires 100 percent renewable balance-sheet coverage from 1 January 2027 and waste-heat reuse. Hamburg and the north sit closer to generation than the fully allocated southern hubs.","what_would_change_it":"SuedLink and northern grid reinforcement converting surplus wind into firm, connectable capacity for large loads.","scope":"The regulatory and permitting environment for connecting a new large load. An opinion on a dated record, not a measurement.","vocabulary_version":"regulatory-momentum-1.0"},"scheduled_changes":[{"date":"Around 2028","event":"SuedLink HVDC link scheduled to complete","why":"Eases the north-south transmission congestion that limits how much of the wind-rich north's power reaches load.","source":{"label":"Global Data Center Hub: grid delays repricing Europe","url":"https://www.globaldatacenterhub.com/p/grid-interconnection-delays-repricing"}}],"queue":null,"friction":{"level":"High","wait":"5-8 years","measure":"proxy","has_detail":true},"connection_pathway":null,"service_evidence":{"contractual_service_held":false,"local_capacity_state":"published_checkable","local_capacity_depth":4,"cost_basis":"triangulated","territory_count":0},"reliability_metrics":{"saidi_min":11.7,"saidi_year":"2024","forward_adequacy":null,"measure":"historical utility-territory delivery performance","standard":null,"standard_note":null,"evidence_role":"market_context","by_serving_utility":[],"evidence_role_basis":"BNetzA national SAIDI across roughly 880 German DSOs"},"forward_cost":null,"tariff":null,"realized_cost":{"low_usd_per_mwh":100,"mid_usd_per_mwh":116,"high_usd_per_mwh":145,"aggregation":"band","estimate_usd_per_mwh":null,"estimate_kind_note":null,"total_derivation":"compiled_band_allocated_across_categories","total_derivation_note":"The band is the compiled result and the component lines apportion its midpoint, which is why they sum exactly.","tariff_basis":null,"scenarios":null,"confidence":"triangulated","public_fragments":3,"contributed_points":0,"basis":"USD per MWh recurring, delivered to the standard 100 MW high-load-factor case, excluding customer-funded connection capital and excluding refundable taxes","cost_components":[{"name":"Wholesale energy","usd_per_mwh":88,"source":null,"provenance":{"provenance_state":"estimated_allocation","provenance_state_label":"Estimated allocation","provenance_state_means":"Apportioned from a compiled total or midpoint by analyst judgement. Not independently calculated, and not corroborated by anything outside the band it came from.","derivation":"allocation_of_compiled_midpoint","derivation_note":"This line apportions the compiled midpoint. Its value was not separately observed.","source_of_band_not_line":"EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","source_url_of_band_not_line":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics","band_as_of":"2026","customer_applicability":"100 MW contracted demand, 95% load factor, HV service","band_confidence":"triangulated","as_of":"2026","method":"analyst apportionment of the compiled midpoint across categories","confidence":"allocation","confidence_note":"Apportioned from the compiled delivered-cost midpoint by analyst judgement. Not separately observed.","covers_categories":["energy"],"corroborated_by":null,"state_vocabulary_version":"provenance-state-1.0","what_would_upgrade_it":"A separately sourced figure for this category with its own date, method and confidence. Until then the band's provenance establishes the total only, not this line.","version":"line-provenance-1.1"},"evidence":"estimated_allocation"},{"name":"Network & grid fees","usd_per_mwh":20,"source":null,"provenance":{"provenance_state":"estimated_allocation","provenance_state_label":"Estimated allocation","provenance_state_means":"Apportioned from a compiled total or midpoint by analyst judgement. Not independently calculated, and not corroborated by anything outside the band it came from.","derivation":"allocation_of_compiled_midpoint","derivation_note":"This line apportions the compiled midpoint. Its value was not separately observed.","source_of_band_not_line":"EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","source_url_of_band_not_line":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics","band_as_of":"2026","customer_applicability":"100 MW contracted demand, 95% load factor, HV service","band_confidence":"triangulated","as_of":"2026","method":"analyst apportionment of the compiled midpoint across categories","confidence":"allocation","confidence_note":"Apportioned from the compiled delivered-cost midpoint by analyst judgement. Not separately observed.","covers_categories":null,"corroborated_by":null,"state_vocabulary_version":"provenance-state-1.0","what_would_upgrade_it":"A separately sourced figure for this category with its own date, method and confidence. Until then the band's provenance establishes the total only, not this line.","version":"line-provenance-1.1"},"evidence":"estimated_allocation"},{"name":"Taxes & levies (after industrial relief)","usd_per_mwh":8,"source":null,"provenance":{"provenance_state":"estimated_allocation","provenance_state_label":"Estimated allocation","provenance_state_means":"Apportioned from a compiled total or midpoint by analyst judgement. Not independently calculated, and not corroborated by anything outside the band it came from.","derivation":"allocation_of_compiled_midpoint","derivation_note":"This line apportions the compiled midpoint. Its value was not separately observed.","source_of_band_not_line":"EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","source_url_of_band_not_line":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics","band_as_of":"2026","customer_applicability":"100 MW contracted demand, 95% load factor, HV service","band_confidence":"triangulated","as_of":"2026","method":"analyst apportionment of the compiled midpoint across categories","confidence":"allocation","confidence_note":"Apportioned from the compiled delivered-cost midpoint by analyst judgement. Not separately observed.","covers_categories":null,"corroborated_by":null,"state_vocabulary_version":"provenance-state-1.0","what_would_upgrade_it":"A separately sourced figure for this category with its own date, method and confidence. Until then the band's provenance establishes the total only, not this line.","version":"line-provenance-1.1"},"evidence":"estimated_allocation"}],"component_status":{"arithmetic_integrity":true,"evidence_reconciliation":"not_independently_reconciled","independently_sourced_lines":0,"total_lines":3,"bundled":[],"text":"The delivered-cost band is the compiled result. The component lines are an estimated allocation of its midpoint, not separately observed figures.","provenance_summary":{"by_state":{"estimated_allocation":3},"usd_by_state":{"estimated_allocation":116},"evidenced_share_pct":0,"lines_awaiting_evidence":["Wholesale energy","Network & grid fees","Taxes & levies (after industrial relief)"],"what_would_close_them":"A separately sourced or tariff-derived figure for each category, with its own date, method and confidence. Until then the band's provenance establishes the total only, not these lines.","version":"provenance-state-1.0"},"category_coverage":{"energy":{"status":"estimated","line":"Wholesale energy","missing_evidence":"An independently sourced wholesale or tariff energy figure with its own date, method and confidence."},"capacity":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No capacity or resource adequacy figure is held for this market."},"transmission":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No transmission figure is held for this market."},"distribution":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No distribution figure is held for this market."},"demand_charges":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No demand charges figure is held for this market."},"ancillary":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No ancillary services and uplift figure is held for this market."},"riders":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No riders and unavoidable regulatory charges figure is held for this market."},"carbon":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No carbon-related charges figure is held for this market."},"taxes":{"status":"unavailable","missing_evidence":"No recurring taxes figure is held for this market."},"connection_capital":{"status":"not_applicable","reason":"Outside the recurring $/MWh boundary by definition."}},"category_vocabulary_version":"cost-categories-1.0","capacity_cross_check":null,"method_version":"cost-components-1.0"},"component_source":["EU electricity price components (Eurostat)","https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_price_statistics"]},"cost_availability":{"label":"Standardized cost observable","means":"A comparable recurring-cost band can be built from observable, applicable inputs for the standard archetype.","user_action":"Use the band, with its stated confidence and boundary.","class":"standardized_observable","band_published":true},"cost_evidence_state":{"state":"applicable_evidence_incomplete","answerable":"conditionally","label":"Applicable, evidence incomplete","means":"The archetype can buy the service and the band is sound, but some published figures do not yet carry their own source, date, method and confidence.","remedy":"Finish the per-line provenance. No new access or negotiation is required.","also_holds":[],"vocabulary_version":"evidence-state-1.0"},"jurisdiction_evidence":null,"cost_structure":null,"cost_withdrawn":null,"cost_correction":null,"carbon_correction":null,"carbon_official_reference":null,"partial_cost_verified":null,"cost_pillar_calculation":null,"evidence":{"source_reliability":"Moderate","coverage":"Full","coverage_dimensions":3,"last_reviewed":"June 2026","measured_layers":1,"data_layers":3,"layers":[{"layer":"PGIQ Rating opinion","method":"opinion","vintage":"June 2026","freshness":"Current","source_url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology"},{"layer":"Reliability","method":"measured","vintage":"2024","freshness":"Fresh","source_url":"https://www.bundesnetzagentur.de/SharedDocs/Pressemitteilungen/EN/2025/20251009_SAIDI_Strom.html"},{"layer":"Connection friction","method":"proxy","vintage":"2025/26","freshness":"Fresh","source_url":"https://www.iea.org/commentaries/overcoming-energy-constraints-is-key-to-delivering-on-europe-s-data-centre-goals"},{"layer":"Realized cost","method":"triangulated","vintage":"2026","freshness":"Fresh","source_url":"https://www.iea.org/reports/electricity-2026/prices"}]},"outlook":"Positive","confidence":"Med-High","under_review":false,"thesis":"The favorable half of Germany: wind-rich, generation-surplus, and the origin end of the SuedLink corridor. A large load here sits where the power is, not where it is stranded.","pillars":{"access":58,"availability":72,"cost":45,"momentum":50,"carbon":55},"pillar_rationale":{"access":"Better access: the north hosts surplus generation and spare network capacity, though export south is constrained until SuedLink; connection is workable.","availability":"Strong availability: onshore and offshore wind run a surplus, with frequent curtailment when the south cannot absorb it.","cost":"Cost is the national wholesale price: Germany is a single bidding zone, so the north shares the same price as the south (its advantage is physical, not price).","momentum":"Lower momentum than Frankfurt: less revealed data-center build so far, though growing near the coastal cable landings.","carbon":"Cleaner power locally: wind-heavy generation gives the north a lower carbon profile than the gas-and-import-leaning south."},"offtake_opportunity_index":61,"demand_hunger":41,"build_feasibility":48,"supplier_signals":{"bess_arbitrage_usd_mwh":59,"bess_arbitrage_pct":62,"solar_capture_pct":98,"wind_capture_pct":100},"outlook_drivers":{"upgrade":["SuedLink and companion corridors complete, monetizing the northern surplus.","Coastal data-center build accelerates near cheap wind."],"downgrade":["Curtailment persists if transmission lags.","National cost and policy headwinds apply here too."]},"risks":["Export constraint until about 2028 HVDC completion.","Shares national price and policy risk."],"peers":{"like":"Nordics on surplus clean power","ahead":"southern Germany on availability and carbon","behind":"Frankfurt on revealed build"},"sources":[{"label":"Germany SuedLink north-south line (Clean Energy Wire)","url":"https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/germany-starts-construction-north-south-power-line-pivotal-energy-transition"}],"latest_action":{"date":"June 2026","type":"New rating","note":"New rating: Tier 3 Workable assigned (northern zone of Germany).","trigger":null},"grid":{"price_usd_mwh":95,"carbon_intensity_g":350,"renewable_pct":57,"renewable_generation_share_pct":57,"low_carbon_generation_share_pct":57,"fuel_mix":{"wind":35,"gas":18,"coal":15,"solar":10,"biofuel":8,"hydro":4,"other":10},"demand_mw":30000,"capacity_mw":72000,"imports_mw":1000,"exports_mw":4000,"firm_capacity_mw":null,"firm_capacity_availability":"insufficient_evidence","firm_capacity_basis":null,"est_peak_mw":45600,"firm_headroom_mw":null,"firm_headroom_availability":"dependency_unavailable","peak_stress_pct":null,"peak_stress_availability":"dependency_unavailable","adequacy_required_input":"capacity_mix_mw with a declared basis, or an official dependable or accredited capacity from the operator","price_cycle":"other","price_basis":"not_reviewed","price_absent_reason":null,"price_source":"modelled-baseline","price_as_of":null,"price_vintage":"undated_modelled_baseline","price_is_live":false,"carbon_intensity_unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","carbon_measurement_boundary":"operational_combustion","carbon_calculation_method":"structural_estimate","carbon_emission_factor_source":null,"carbon_basis_withdrawn":true,"carbon_imports_treatment":"not_accounted","carbon_provenance_state":"structural","carbon_decision_eligibility":"insufficient_evidence","carbon_confidence":"low","source":"modelled-baseline"},"evidence_depth":{"use_case":"project_case","use_case_label":"Standardized Project Case","overall":"M1 Broad","overall_permits":"Directional only: supports discovery, comparison and monitoring, not a project decision.","insufficient_evidence":false,"unassessed_required_fields":[],"project_ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"fields":{"cost":"M3 Project-ready","connection":"M1 Broad","reliability":"M2 Compiled","carbon":"M2 Compiled","regulatory":"M2 Compiled","local_capacity":"M4 Local"},"by_use_case":{"discovery":{"label":"Discovery and monitoring","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"market_comparison":{"label":"Market comparison","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case":{"label":"Standardized Project Case","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case_carbon":{"label":"Project Case with a carbon requirement","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability","carbon"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"site_diligence":{"label":"Conditional site diligence","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""}},"reliability_layers":{"bulk_historical":{"state":"held","method":"measured"},"forward_adequacy":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"local_delivery":{"state":"held","method":"measured"},"contractual_service":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"designed_site_resilience":{"state":"unknown","method":null}},"definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","scale":"M1 broad / M2 compiled / M3 project-ready / M4 local; cumulative, so each tier includes the ones below it. Assigned per field from held evidence with provenance. Not a rating strength, confidence score or feasibility conclusion."},"next_review":"2027-05-15","report_url":"https://powergridiq.com/rating/germany-north","as_of":"June 2026","evidence_layers":{"version":"evidence-layers-1.0","band":{"state":"independently_compiled","label":"Independently compiled","means":"The band is assembled from multiple sourced, dated and applicable published figures. It is not a single benchmark and it is not a tariff reconstruction.","reproducible":"partially"},"component":{"total_lines":3,"reproducible_lines":0,"states":["estimated_allocation"],"all_lines_are_estimated_allocations":true,"independently_reproducible":false,"illustrative":true,"notice":"Illustrative allocation of the compiled midpoint. Component lines are not separately sourced and should not be interpreted as observed tariff charges.","notice_short":"Illustrative allocation — lines not separately sourced","vocabulary_version":"evidence-layers-1.0"},"cost_pillar":{"state":"analyst_assessment","label":"Analyst assessment","means":"The score is a judgement recorded with a written cost-specific rationale. It is not calculated from a formula and does not claim to be.","reproducible":false},"layers_are_independent":"Band, component and cost-pillar evidence are separate judgments. A market may have a sound, applicable band and an illustrative component breakdown at the same time. Do not read a component-evidence limitation as a statement about the band."}}