{"id":"sweden","rid":"SE2","name":"Sweden","flag":"🇸🇪","group":"europe","type":"overview","parent":null,"regions":["sweden-north","sweden-south"],"tier_range":"1-3","tier":1,"tier_name":"Prime","score":76,"pillar_score":78,"pillar_tier":2,"pillar_tier_name":"Strong","reliability":{"assessed":true,"level":"watch","dock":2,"provisional":false,"confidence":"Med-High","delivery_transmission":{"level":"watch","measure":"measured","note":"North-to-south transfer is a growing bottleneck (interzone capacity around 7,000 MW): most new wind is in the north while southern nuclear has been phased out, so the load-heavy south leans on imports in low-wind hours.","sources":[{"label":"Svenska kraftnat grid capacity (AFRY)","url":"https://afry.com/en/insight/grid-capacity-challenges-in-sweden"}]},"delivery_distribution":{"level":"none"},"forward_capacity":{"level":"watch","measure":"assessed","note":"Svenska kraftnat's analysis finds rising demand without large new flexibility becomes hard to serve from about 2035, with growing dependence on flexibility and imports at peak.","sources":[{"label":"Svenska kraftnat grid capacity (AFRY)","url":"https://afry.com/en/insight/grid-capacity-challenges-in-sweden"}]},"regional_docks":{"sweden-north":0,"sweden-south":4},"read":"Minor flags found","level_means":"reviewed; flags found"},"reliability_dock":2,"regulatory_momentum":null,"scheduled_changes":null,"queue":null,"friction":null,"connection_pathway":null,"service_evidence":null,"reliability_metrics":null,"forward_cost":null,"tariff":null,"realized_cost":null,"cost_availability":{"label":"Standardized cost observable","means":"A comparable recurring-cost band can be built from observable, applicable inputs for the standard archetype, but PowerGridIQ does not publish one for this market yet.","user_action":"There is no band to use here today. The inputs are observable, so this is our work to finish rather than evidence you need to gather -- do not engage the utility on our behalf, and do not treat the absence as a finding about the market. Read cost_evidence_state.remedy for what is outstanding.","class":"standardized_observable","band_published":false},"cost_evidence_state":{"state":"applicable_evidence_incomplete","answerable":"conditionally","label":"Applicable, evidence incomplete","means":"The archetype can buy the service and the band is sound, but some published figures do not yet carry their own source, date, method and confidence.","remedy":"Finish the per-line provenance. No new access or negotiation is required.","also_holds":[],"vocabulary_version":"evidence-state-1.0"},"jurisdiction_evidence":null,"cost_structure":null,"cost_withdrawn":null,"cost_correction":null,"carbon_correction":null,"carbon_official_reference":null,"partial_cost_verified":null,"cost_pillar_calculation":null,"evidence":{"source_reliability":"High","coverage":"Partial","coverage_dimensions":1,"last_reviewed":"June 2026","measured_layers":1,"data_layers":1,"layers":[{"layer":"PGIQ Rating opinion","method":"opinion","vintage":"June 2026","freshness":"Current","source_url":"https://powergridiq.com/methodology"},{"layer":"Reliability review","method":"measured","vintage":"2025","freshness":"Fresh","source_url":"https://afry.com/en/insight/grid-capacity-challenges-in-sweden"}]},"outlook":"Stable","confidence":"High","under_review":false,"thesis":"Cheap, clean, open Nordic power, but the national average hides a two-tier split: the northern zones (SE1/SE2, where Meta built in Lulea) are Prime, while the constrained, import-dependent south (SE4) sits two tiers lower. This overview links to both regional ratings.","pillars":{"access":70,"availability":75,"cost":92,"momentum":60,"carbon":99},"pillar_rationale":{"access":"Open and welcoming, with established northern clusters.","availability":"High availability (hydro plus nuclear).","cost":"Cheap power, among Europe's lowest in the north.","momentum":"Moderate, real momentum.","carbon":"Near-zero operational carbon (~10-40 g)."},"offtake_opportunity_index":null,"demand_hunger":null,"build_feasibility":null,"supplier_signals":null,"outlook_drivers":{"upgrade":["Build scales beyond the current Nordic clusters.","Continued cheap clean power attracts firm tenants."],"downgrade":["Northern-grid or political limits.","Cold-snap demand peaks."]},"risks":["Revealed-demand scale.","Northern transmission."],"peers":{"like":"Norway / Finland (cheap clean Nordic)","ahead":"on openness","behind":"ERCOT on momentum"},"sources":[{"label":"Nordic data-center market","url":"https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/nordic-data-center-market"}],"latest_action":{"date":"Jul 2026","type":"Affirmed","note":"National score moves 78 to 76 as the overview now carries the average of its regions' reliability adjustments (North 0, South 4) instead of an unapplied national dock. Tier 1 affirmed; the region ratings are unchanged.","trigger":"Overview reliability-adjustment consistency (methodology note, Jul 2026)"},"grid":{"price_usd_mwh":32,"carbon_intensity_g":45,"renewable_pct":70,"renewable_generation_share_pct":70,"low_carbon_generation_share_pct":100,"fuel_mix":{"hydro":42,"nuclear":30,"wind":18,"solar":2,"biofuel":8},"demand_mw":17000,"capacity_mw":42000,"imports_mw":500,"exports_mw":5000,"firm_capacity_mw":null,"firm_capacity_availability":"insufficient_evidence","firm_capacity_basis":null,"est_peak_mw":24140,"firm_headroom_mw":null,"firm_headroom_availability":"dependency_unavailable","peak_stress_pct":null,"peak_stress_availability":"dependency_unavailable","adequacy_required_input":"capacity_mix_mw with a declared basis, or an official dependable or accredited capacity from the operator","price_cycle":"other","price_basis":"not_reviewed","price_absent_reason":null,"price_source":"modelled-baseline","price_as_of":null,"price_vintage":"undated_modelled_baseline","price_is_live":false,"carbon_intensity_unit":"gCO2eq/kWh","carbon_measurement_boundary":"operational_combustion","carbon_calculation_method":"structural_estimate","carbon_emission_factor_source":null,"carbon_basis_withdrawn":true,"carbon_imports_treatment":"not_accounted","carbon_provenance_state":"structural","carbon_decision_eligibility":"insufficient_evidence","carbon_confidence":"low","source":"modelled-baseline"},"evidence_depth":{"use_case":"project_case","use_case_label":"Standardized Project Case","overall":"M1 Broad","overall_permits":"Directional only: supports discovery, comparison and monitoring, not a project decision.","insufficient_evidence":false,"unassessed_required_fields":[],"project_ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","cost","reliability"],"fields":{"reliability":"M2 Compiled","local_capacity":"not_assessed","connection":"M1 Broad","regulatory":"not_assessed","carbon":"M2 Compiled","cost":"M1 Broad"},"by_use_case":{"discovery":{"label":"Discovery and monitoring","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","cost"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"market_comparison":{"label":"Market comparison","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","cost","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case":{"label":"Standardized Project Case","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","cost","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"project_case_carbon":{"label":"Project Case with a carbon requirement","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"M1 Broad","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["carbon","connection","cost","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":false,"why":""},"site_diligence":{"label":"Conditional site diligence","matrix_version":"1.0","tier":"not_assessed","ready":false,"blocking_fields":["connection","cost","local_capacity","reliability"],"insufficient_evidence":true,"why":"Sweden North (Lulea, SE1/SE2): not assessed here: local capacity Sweden South (Malmo, SE4): not assessed here: local capacity"}},"reliability_layers":{"bulk_historical":{"state":"held","method":"measured"},"forward_adequacy":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"local_delivery":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"contractual_service":{"state":"unknown","method":null},"designed_site_resilience":{"state":"unknown","method":null}},"definition_version":"carbon_scope@1.0;connection_process@1.0;cost_archetype@1.0;evidence_tiers@1.0;reliability_layers@1.0","scale":"M1 broad / M2 compiled / M3 project-ready / M4 local; cumulative, so each tier includes the ones below it. Assigned per field from held evidence with provenance. Not a rating strength, confidence score or feasibility conclusion.","assessment":"aggregated_from_constituents","aggregation":"weakest constituent, per field","aggregation_version":"depth-aggregate-1.0","derived_from":["sweden-north","sweden-south"],"why":"This is a summary row covering Sweden North (Lulea, SE1/SE2), Sweden South (Malmo, SE4). It is not separately researched, so its evidence depth is the weakest of its constituent markets rather than an assessment of the summary itself. Screen and compare on the constituent markets, not on this row. local_capacity is not_assessed here by construction: a local-deliverability finding belongs to a bus or a substation and does not aggregate to a region."},"next_review":null,"report_url":"https://powergridiq.com/rating/sweden","as_of":"June 2026","evidence_layers":{"version":"evidence-layers-1.0","band":{"state":"insufficient_evidence","label":"Insufficient evidence","means":"No band is published because the available evidence does not support one.","reproducible":false},"component":null,"cost_pillar":{"state":"analyst_assessment","label":"Analyst assessment","means":"The score is a judgement recorded with a written cost-specific rationale. It is not calculated from a formula and does not claim to be.","reproducible":false},"layers_are_independent":"Band, component and cost-pillar evidence are separate judgments. A market may have a sound, applicable band and an illustrative component breakdown at the same time. Do not read a component-evidence limitation as a statement about the band."},"overview":{"is_market":false,"row_type":"overview","summarises":["sweden-north","sweden-south"],"what_it_is":"A summary row covering the markets named in `summarises`. It is not separately researched and is excluded from /api/v1/markets, /screen, /best and the ranked cost table.","instead":"Screen, rank and compare on the markets in `summarises`. Fetch each at /api/v1/ratings/{id}.","evidence_depth_note":"Its evidence_depth is the weakest of its constituents, aggregated rather than assessed. local_capacity is not_assessed by construction: local deliverability belongs to a bus, not a region."}}