Load Pipeline Reality · Grid planner · as of June 2026

How much of each connection queue will really be built

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Interconnection queues overstate what will actually get built: of the generation and storage capacity that entered US queues from 2000 to 2020, about 75 percent withdrew before connecting (LBNL, Queued Up). This page discounts each market's raw queue by its own historical drop-out rate, giving the capacity plausibly heading for operation rather than the headline number. These are generation and storage queues. They measure how congested the interconnection system is; they do not measure how long a new large load waits. Where an operator publishes a separate large-load queue, we show it as its own figure. The 12 markets with a countable queue are ranked; the other 67 are shown by demand read alone.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Northern Virginia (PJM) carries the heaviest demand pressure. Its generation and storage queue stands at 144 GW; at its historical drop-out rate, about 36 GW would reach operation.
RegionLoad pressure
Queued against likely to arrive
■ solid: generation and storage expected to reach operation after each marketโ€™s own historical withdrawal rate. ■ faded: the rest of the requested queue. This is a GENERATION and storage queue, not load, and the withdrawal rate is historical rather than a forecast of these specific projects. The 12 largest queues of 12 with a countable one; markets with no queue are in the strip below.
50 GW100 GW150 GW200 GW250 GW300 GW350 GWMISO (Midwest): 382 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnMISO (Midwest): about 95.5 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ MISO95.5 of 382 GWGreat Britain: 283 GW requested · 52% historically withdrawnGreat Britain: about 135.8 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Great Britain135.8 of 283 GWCAISO (California): 191 GW requested · 80% historically withdrawnCAISO (California): about 38.2 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CAISO38.2 of 191 GWSPP (Southwest Power Pool): 171 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnSPP (Southwest Power Pool): about 42.8 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ SPP42.8 of 171 GWUS Southeast (Atlanta): 153 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnUS Southeast (Atlanta): about 38.2 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Southeast38.2 of 153 GWNorthern Virginia (PJM): 144 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnNorthern Virginia (PJM): about 36.0 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Northern Virginia36.0 of 144 GWPacific Northwest: 130 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnPacific Northwest: about 32.5 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pacific Northwest32.5 of 130 GWDesert Southwest (Phoenix): 95 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnDesert Southwest (Phoenix): about 23.8 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Desert Southwest23.8 of 95 GWNetherlands: 38 GW requested · 20% historically withdrawnNetherlands: about 30.4 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands30.4 of 38 GWNYISO (New York): 29 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnNYISO (New York): about 7.2 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NYISO7.2 of 29 GWISO New England: 15 GW requested · 75% historically withdrawnISO New England: about 3.8 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISO New England3.8 of 15 GWIreland (Dublin): 5 GW requested · 30% historically withdrawnIreland (Dublin): about 3.5 GW likely to reach operation๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland3.5 of 5 GW
MarketRegionDemand readQueue likely to reach operationWithdrawalDC concentrationQueue wait
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Northern Virginia (PJM)United StatesHeavy load pressure and accelerating, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 82/100 · #1 of 12
~36.0 of 144 GW (measured)75%Very high~72 mo (lands ~2032)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Desert Southwest (Phoenix)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 63/100 · #2 of 12
~23.8 of 95 GW (modelled)75%High~55 mo (lands ~2031)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ MISO (Midwest)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 63/100 · #3 of 12
~95.5 of 382 GW (measured)75%Rising~50 mo (lands ~2030)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CAISO (California)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 63/100 · #4 of 12
~38.2 of 191 GW (measured)80%Rising~60 mo (lands ~2031)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Southeast (Atlanta)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 62/100 · #5 of 12
~38.2 of 153 GW (measured)75%Rising~50 mo (lands ~2030)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland (Dublin)EuropeRising load pressure, much of the queue looks real.
Load Pressure Score 62/100 · #6 of 12
~3.5 of 5 GW (measured)30%Very high~48 mo (lands ~2030)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pacific NorthwestUnited StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 60/100 · #7 of 12
~32.5 of 130 GW (modelled)75%Rising~55 mo (lands ~2031)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Great BritainEuropeRising load pressure, much of the queue looks real.
Load Pressure Score 57/100 · #8 of 12
~135.8 of 283 GW (measured)52%Rising~48 mo (lands ~2030)
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ NetherlandsEuropeRising load pressure, much of the queue looks real.
Load Pressure Score 57/100 · #9 of 12
~30.4 of 38 GW (measured)20%High~96 mo (lands ~2034)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NYISO (New York)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score 52/100 · #10 of 12
~7.2 of 29 GW (measured)75%Moderate~55 mo (lands ~2031)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ SPP (Southwest Power Pool)United StatesRising load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score ••/100 · #11 of 12
•• GW••%•••••• mo
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISO New EnglandUnited StatesLight load pressure, but most of the queue will wash out.
Load Pressure Score ••/100 · #12 of 12
•• GW••%•••••• mo
Only markets with a countable interconnection queue are ranked here; the rest are listed below by demand read alone. The demand read is a plain-language call on demand pressure and how much of the queue looks real; the underlying 0 to 100 pressure score (demand growth, forward-capacity tightness, data-centre share) is shown small as the sort key. The queue column counts generation and storage requests, discounted by each market's historical withdrawal rate; it is not a forecast of load. Queue wait is the typical end-to-end wait in that generation queue, and the lands-by year applies it to today. It indicates interconnection congestion, not a connection time quoted to a large load. In Northern Virginia, Dominion has said large data centres over 100 MW can wait up to seven years, and PJM's reformed queue is only now targeting a one-to-two-year study cycle. This separates genuine load from queue spam; it is our opinion, not a forecast.

◆ Your Analyst Desk access shows the precise demand-pressure score, queue likely to reach operation, withdrawal, data-centre share and time to connect for every ranked market above.

🔒 The precise figures below the top 10 are the Analyst Desk

The load read and rank stay free for every market. The Desk adds the precise demand-pressure score, queue likely to reach operation, withdrawal rate, data-centre share and time-to-connect across the full ranking, plus history and export.

Get the Analyst Desk $600/mo

Markets without a countable connection queue (67)

These grids publish no interconnection queue we can count, so they are not ranked above. They are shown by our demand-pressure read alone, from load growth and grid stress. Open any market in the grid-planner lens for the detail.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ERCOT Central (Houston & DFW) Heavy๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ERCOT West (West Texas & Panhandle) Heavy๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany South (Frankfurt/Munich) Heavy๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ Philippines Heavy๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan East (Tokyo, 50Hz) Heavy๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea Rising๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia Rising๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand Rising๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India Rising๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia Rising๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Alberta Rising๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain Rising๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia NSW (Sydney) Rising๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil (Sao Paulo) Rising๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช United Arab Emirates Rising๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal Rising๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ontario Rising๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France Rising๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia Rising๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia Victoria (Melbourne) Rising๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore Rising๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Quebec Rising๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa Rising๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ British Columbia Rising๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy (Milan, North) Rising๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia Queensland (Brisbane) Rising๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden South (Malmo, SE4) Rising๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan Rising๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Chile Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Nova Scotia Light๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt Light๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด Colombia Light๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina Light๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway Light๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden North (Lulea, SE1/SE2) Light๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium Light๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan West (Osaka, 60Hz) Light๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Qatar Light๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Manitoba Light๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic Light๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania Light๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey Light๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany North (Hamburg) Light๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania Light๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece Light๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ New Zealand Light๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saskatchewan Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ New Brunswick Light๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark Light๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraq Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ท Costa Rica Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Newfoundland & Labrador Light๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia Light๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia Light๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ Kuwait Light๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria Light๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland Light๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Hungary Light๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พ Uruguay Light๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia Light๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria Light๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia Light