Grid Exposure Monitor · Ongoing monitoring · Beta · as of June 2026

Grid strength, graded and monitored: 34 markets BETA

The same market, read four ways: build, sell, plan, monitor
BuildSellPlan
Monitor

Every fully compiled market carries a grid-strength grade: Strong, Sound, Watch or Weak. The grade is built from cited, dated readings of delivery reliability, forward firm supply, cost certainty, regulatory steadiness, the risk a project connects late, and the market's room to grow, and it moves when those readings move. Use it to watch the grids behind assets you hold, underwrite or insure: a slipping grade reaches you before the annual review does. It reads the grid, not the deal, and it is not a credit rating.

To size a new deal rather than watch a grid, open the market itself in the lens that matches the asset: Build, Sell or Plan. The 34 markets here have reliability, connection and cost all compiled; the other 45 are siting screens on the ratings hub. Not investment, engineering or procurement advice.

Strongest grid right now: 🇳🇴 Norway.

What the Monitor watches

Point it at the markets where you hold exposure. When one of these moves, you hear about it.

Rating actions and reviews
Early warning ahead of the annual credit review.
Regulatory direction and dated changes
Stroke-of-pen risk: when to re-open covenants, reprice, or seek guarantees.
Capacity-auction and cost-band moves
Re-underwrite the power-cost and pass-through assumptions.
Forward firm-supply adequacy
Curtailment timing: whether a future refinancing lands in a shortfall window.
Queue depth and drop-out rate
Construction-phase completion risk and energization slippage.

The 34 markets under full monitoring

Reliability, connection and cost are all compiled and monitored for these 34. The other 45 markets are siting screens only, not monitored.

■ Strong 6    ■ Sound 13    ■ Watch 11    ■ Weak 4
Timely: the FERC Section 206 reset is in flux across all six US grid operators. Read it across every US market →
RegionGrid strength
#MarketGrid strengthRatingOutlookReliabilityCost certaintyRegulatory
StrongStandard terms likely6 markets
1🇳🇴 Norway
Europe
78
Tier 1 Prime, Stable→No reliability flags foundModelledMixed →
2🇸🇪 Sweden North (Lulea, SE1/SE2)
Europe
78
Tier 1 Prime, Positive↑No reliability flags foundModelledMixed ↑
3🇹🇭 Thailand
Asia
74
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑Minor flags foundAdministeredFavourable ↑
4🇫🇮 Finland
Europe
70
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑No reliability flags foundTriangulatedMixed ↓
5🇫🇷 France
Europe
70
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑Minor flags found firm adequacy flaggedTriangulatedFavourable →
6🇲🇾 Malaysia
Asia
70
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑Minor flags found firm adequacy flaggedTriangulatedFavourable ↑
SoundManageable with normal diligence13 markets
7🇺🇸 ERCOT Central (Houston & DFW)
United States
67
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑Reliability flags found firm tightTriangulatedFavourable →
8🇺🇸 ERCOT West (West Texas & Panhandle)
United States
67
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑Reliability flags found firm tightTriangulatedFavourable →
9🇩🇪 Germany North (Hamburg)
Europe
67
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑No reliability flags foundTriangulatedMixed ↑
10🇭🇰 Hong Kong
Asia
67
Tier 4 Constrained, Stable→No reliability flags foundAdministeredNot assessed
11🇮🇩 Indonesia
Asia
67
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑••••••••••••
12🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
Middle East
67
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
13🇰🇷 South Korea
Asia
67
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑••••••••••••
14🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
Middle East
67
Tier 1 Prime, Positive↑••••••••••••
15🇯🇵 Japan West (Osaka, 60Hz)
Asia
63
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑••••••••••••
16🇬🇧 Great Britain
Europe
59
Tier 4 Constrained, Positive↑••••••••••••
17🇨🇦 Alberta
Canada
56
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
18🇮🇳 India
Asia
56
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑••••••••••••
19🇿🇦 South Africa
Africa
56
Tier 3 Workable, Positive↑••••••••••••
WatchNeeds structuring or mitigants11 markets
20🇺🇸 CAISO (California)
United States
52
Tier 3 Workable, Negative↓••••••••••••
21🇳🇱 Netherlands
Europe
52
Tier 4 Constrained, Negative↓••••••••••••
22🇺🇸 SPP (Southwest Power Pool)
United States
52
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
23🇪🇸 Spain
Europe
52
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
24🇺🇸 MISO (Midwest)
United States
48
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
25🇺🇸 Northern Virginia (PJM)
United States
48
Tier 2 Strong, Negative↓••••••••••••
26🇨🇦 Quebec
Canada
48
Tier 2 Strong, Positive↑••••••••••••
27🇸🇪 Sweden South (Malmo, SE4)
Europe
48
Tier 3 Workable, Stable→••••••••••••
28🇹🇼 Taiwan
Asia
48
Tier 4 Constrained, Stable→••••••••••••
29🇨🇦 Ontario
Canada
44
Tier 2 Strong, Negative↓••••••••••••
30🇵🇭 Philippines
Asia
44
Tier 4 Constrained, Positive↑••••••••••••
WeakDeep conditions or guarantees needed4 markets
31🇩🇪 Germany South (Frankfurt/Munich)
Europe
37
Tier 4 Constrained, Stable→••••••••••••
32🇯🇵 Japan East (Tokyo, 50Hz)
Asia
37
Tier 4 Constrained, Stable→••••••••••••
33🇮🇪 Ireland (Dublin)
Europe
33
Tier 5 Largely closed, Positive↑••••••••••••
34🇺🇸 NYISO (New York)
United States
30
Tier 3 Workable, Negative↓••••••••••••

◆ Your Analyst Desk access shows the reliability, cost-certainty and regulatory reads for every market above.

🔒 The factor reads below the top 10 are the Analyst Desk

Every grid-strength grade and rank stays free. The Desk adds the underlying reliability, cost-certainty and regulatory reads across the full list, plus per-market alerts over the life of a deal and the cited Grid Risk Annex.

Get the Analyst Desk $600/mo
Ranked by grid strength, strongest first. Strong means the rating, grid, cost and policy all hold up; Weak means several work against you, so an exposure there needs structuring, mitigants or pricing to carry. It reads the grid, not the deal, from data PowerGridIQ already publishes and cites. The other 45 markets are siting screens on the ratings hub, not monitored; we deepen coverage market by market. Per-market alerts over the life of a deal, and the cited Grid Risk Annex for a memo, are the Analyst Desk and enterprise tiers.

How the grade is built

The grade weighs factors PowerGridIQ already publishes and cites: the PGIQ rating and its track record, delivery reliability, forward firm supply, cost certainty, regulatory direction and steadiness, the risk a project connects late, and demand and investment momentum (growth prospects across the value chain). Each factor adds or subtracts strength points, so strong performance lifts the grade and weakness lowers it; the total sets the band. A steady, predictable regulatory regime scores as a strength, since it lowers the stroke-of-pen risk a lender carries over the life of a deal. The top grade rewards a strong grid, with steady rules, that is also growing, where capital can be deployed, not a placid one.

Two rules keep it honest. A factor we have not assessed is treated as unknown, never as strength. And a market we cannot yet assess on reliability, or on more than one factor, cannot be graded Strong, or Strong or Sound. So a market can sit low because we found weakness, or because we do not yet have the evidence to grade it higher. The market page says which: each factor reads either a finding or not assessed, and a grade held down by thin data is labelled as such.

This is a directional screen on grid, cost and policy risk, in beta while we deepen coverage market by market. It is not a credit rating, and not investment, engineering or procurement advice.